by Rushing Props have been released for Super Bowl LVII!
SI Sportsbook expects a close game with the Eagles, who are favored by just 1.5 points, and the game total is set at 49.5.
The Eagles are a run-first team averaging 146.8 ground yards per game during the regular season, ranking fifth in the NFL. Last week in their 31-7 blowout of the 49ersevery touchdown was on the floor – including one by the quarterback Jalen hurts. The game script certainly often favored Philadelphia’s run game, but head coach Nick Sirianni also did an excellent job of establishing the run to open the passing game to hurts. Eagles runners have averaged a whopping 208 yards per game in the postseason.
Kansas City is a passing team that finished 20th in the NFL with just 115 ground yards per game during the regular season. In the postseason, they averaged 93 rushing yards per game.
Both teams will need their runners to be at their best for the big game. Let’s take a look at where the markets have opened at SI Sportsbook.
Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports
rushing yards
Miles Sanders – 57.5
About (-118) | Under (-125)
Isaiah Pacheco – 52.5
About (-125) | Under (-128)
Jalen hurts – 49.5
About (-118) | Under (-125)
Jerick McKinnon – 23.5
About (-118) | Under (-125)
Kenneth Gainwell – 22.5
About (-118) | Under (-125)
Boston Scott – 11.5
About (-118) | Under (-125)
Isaiah Pacheco had a strong postseason, clearly taking the lead in the Chiefs backfield with 11 tries per game and 5.51 yards per attempt in the postseason. The Eagles have only allowed about 100 rushing yards per game in the postseason.
Jerick McKinnon hasn’t been efficient as a runner lately. He streaked for just 25 yards in the divisional round with 10 carries and carried the ball for a single yard four times in the AFC championship game. McKinnon is used more in the passing game.
Miles Sanders rushed more than 15 times per game during the regular season and averaged 74.6 yards per contest. He’s maintained a good workload in the postseason, averaging 14 attempts per game and 4.71 yards per attempt. The Chiefs have conceded 107 rushing yards per game and 4.48 yards per attempt this year. However, don’t forget that Sanders has to share carries Kenneth Gainwell, Boston Scott and perhaps most importantly, hurts.
Hurts averaged 50.6 rushing yards per game during the regular season, but he was more restrained in the postseason with just 73 ground yards in two matchups. The Chiefs allowed 26 yards Trevor Lawrence and 30 meters too Joe Burrow in the postseason, with both quarterbacks topping their props.
Scott has 53 yards (26.5 per game) on 12 carries in the first two games of the postseason, while Gainwell has 160 yards on 26 carries (80 yards per game). Her lines reflect oddsmakers expect the Eagles to be in a close game.
Rushing + receiving yards
Miles Sanders – 65.5
About (-125) | Under (-120)
Jerick McKinnon – 49.5
About (-118) | Under (-125)
McKinnon was a favorite passing weapon of Mahomes, and he surpassed that assist in four of the last six games of the regular season. However, he hasn’t come close to doing so in either postseason game. The Eagles allowed an average of 32 yards per game passing backs during the regular season. If you think Mahomes could get injured and need to ditch the ball, you might consider the over.
Sanders is averaging 4.5 yards per game this year in the regular season and has a catch for three yards in the postseason.
Longest rush
Jalen hurts – 13.5
About (-118) | Under (-133)
Miles Sanders – 13.5
About (-133) | Under (-118)
Isiah Pacheco – 13.5
About (-125) | Under (-118)
Jerick McKinnon – 9.5
About (-118) | Under (-133)
Sanders topped that prop in eight of 17 regular-season games and one postseason game against the Giants. It’s worth noting that Sanders has recorded four times exactly 13 yards this year as his longest gain, so prepare for this to be close.
Kansas City allowed 47 rushes for 10+ yards this regular season and three rushes for 10+ yards in the postseason.
Hurts has surpassed that prop eight times in 15 regular season starts, but vacated it once this postseason and by the smallest margin (14 yards against the 49ers).
McKinnon has failed to hit a 10-yard rush in his last five games, and only four times during the regular season.
Pacheco cleared that mark seven times including the postseason but did not Bengal in the AFC championship game.
baiting attempts
Miles Sanders – 12.5
About (-143) | Under (-105)
Jalen hurts – 10.5
About (-105) | Under (-141)
Sanders had 17 and 11 carries against the Giants and 49ers, respectively, and averaged 15.2 carries per game during the regular season. He registered at least 13 carries in 11 regular-season games, but only five times in the last 11 games.
Hurts has 20 carries in the postseason (11.9) and has surpassed 10.5 carries in just two of their last six games (including postseason). Hurts has surpassed that mark seven times during the regular season but has run less over the course of the season.
Rapid touchdowns
Patrick Mahomes – 0.5
About (+400) | Under (-901)
Jalen hurts – 0.5
About (+115) | Under (-175)
Miles Sanders – 0.5
About (+150) | Under (-225)
Isiah Pacheco – 0.5
About (+163) | Under (-250)
The odds are quite different for the two quarterbacks, which can be chalked down to Mahomes’ poppy ankle and his tendency to run the ball. Of the four players, Hurts has the best chance of finding the end zone with a rushing score.
Hurts has a rushing touchdown in every postseason game this year and has 15 for the season, while Sanders scored twice against the 49ers but failed to find the end zone against the Giants in the divisional round.
Mahomes has a total of six rushes for 16 yards this postseason and hasn’t caught in either game and hasn’t rushed in his last four games. Pacheco also failed to get a quick touchdown this postseason.
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